War Studies

War Studies

Upcoming scenarios of the Syrian crisis

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Instructor of Imam Hossein University, Tehran, Iran
2 Assistant Professor and Faculty Member of Imam Hossein University, Tehran, Iran.
Abstract
The Syrian crisis is one of the geopolitical crises in the geostrategic region of West Asia, which has been exploited by the countries of the region and the West by abusing the wave of Islamic awakening, known as the Arab Spring since March 2011 with the support of Salafi internal opposition forces and sending them to Syria. , Came into being; An action that has displaced millions of Syrians, destroyed Syrian infrastructure, and had regional and global consequences. Considering the current trend of the crisis and the impulses related to the favorable (possible and probable) future, various scenarios for this crisis are drawn. In this research, using analytical-explanatory method and using library studies, documents and existing archives, these scenarios have been illustrated, which has been illustrated with possible results to face possible futures. This research shows that although the Syrian presidential election, by increasing the legitimacy of the ruling regime in Syria, provided the grounds for increasing its power, resistance and acceptance against opposition groups at the domestic level, the fluid nature of the Syrian crisis in It is also affected by regional and global geopolitical factors, and the set of elements of the three levels (local, regional and international) also have a significant impact on the fate of this crisis in the future
Keywords

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